US ECM makes strides but hurdles lie ahead

IFR 2451 - 17 Sep 2022 - 23 Sep 2022
Quick read
Americas

US ECM has finally got some IPOs under its belt and priced a relatively solid slate of secondary deals as well, but market conditions are again looking unhelpful to support a more meaningful step-up in activity.

In the past week, bankers priced the biggest IPO of the year (Corebridge Financial's US$1.68bn NYSE offering) and brought another to market (Third Harmonic Bio's US$185.3m Nasdaq debut), while blocks and marketed follow-ons raised a total of US$2.1bn, much of it from the biotech sector.

But no IPOs are currently queuing up to price in the coming week and a broadening in the types of companies raising money may be difficult near-term. For one, earnings blackouts are starting to take effect while investors are braced for a potentially tougher third-quarter earnings season.

Coming off some bruising sessions for stocks and with the VIX elevated at close to 28 early on Friday, investors also remain more focused on monetary policy and the economic outlook than on committing new money to stock sales.

The next FOMC meeting on September 20–21, the big event of the coming week, promises at least a 75bp increase in interest rates to help tackle runaway inflation, though a bigger move of 100bp could hit stock valuations again.

Jewish religious holidays in the following week could also impact roadshow scheduling, prompting IPO aspirants to hold off for now.