The European corporate bond market has undoubtedly been the success story of the year so far. with record issuance volumes and encouraging after-market performances, it has set the tone for returning confidence across the sector. This at a time when many corporates were following a defensive liquidity strategy amid recessionary fears, rising defaults, increasing downgrades and heightened market volatility. Andrew Perrin reports.
For many, the bond market was the last chance saloon to term out existing debt. Banks were either unwilling or unable to throw them a short-term lifeline. Previous short-term facilities had already been exhausted in many cases, while the cost of renewing facilities increased sharply – or had been withdrawn completely.
This surge of supply was mirrored by a substantial increase in demand from cash-rich investors. Shrinking deposit rates, low government bond yields and volatility in global equities, particularly in the earlier part of the year, triggered a sharp increase in asset allocations into corporate bonds.
In a six-month period that surpassed even the most optimistic of expectations, 203 transactions emerged, totalling €195.2bn in the first half of this year, dwarfing the 112 deals totalling €70.76bn launched in the same period in 2008. Last year’s total had already been surpassed by the start of July 09, with six months of this year still to go. It was just €200m short of the annual record of €195.4bn posted in 2001 – and broke that record on July 1 when a further €2.4bn supply edged it past that watershed.
In the early part of the year there was a clear preference for more frequent, less cyclical issuers, with solid ratings and stable cashflows. The euro market also offered issuers more strength in depth this year, putting paid to the old mantra of "dollars for size and Europe for price".
Roche Holdings, for example, blew the market out of the water with the largest corporate Eurobond ever at around €12.66bn equivalent, through active bookrunners BNP Paribas, Barclays Capital, Deutsche Bank and Santander. This dual-currency multi-tranche exercise also produced the largest single-tranche issue to date: the €5.25bn 4.75% March 2013.
This dominance of the lower beta names gradually began to wane in line with diminishing new issue premiums. By the second quarter it was the cyclical Triple B-type issuers that were commanding the most interest, as investors chased yield. This trend altered again in the final weeks of H1, as more first-time or rarer issuers began to materialise.
Meanwhile, investors were richly rewarded for their enthusiasm, as credit markets boasted the best performing asset class in the first six months of the year. According to SG CIB, 177 investment-grade corporate euro benchmarks were issued in the first half of 2009 and all but two were trading in positive territory at the end of June. The iBoxx Corporate cash index was quoted at 289bp, compared with 466bp at the beginning of this year.
The Thomson SDC league tables make interesting reading during this period. In euro denominated corporate bonds, the top four banks in the first half of 2008 reinforced their positions in H1 2009, clearly benefiting from their ability to maintain shorter-term lending throughout the crises. Deutsche Bank sits at the top of the table after the first six months of this year, having been involved in 65 transactions to the tune of 19.596bn. This compares to the 17 transactions worth €8.992bn that handed the bank top spot in H1 2008.
The second to forth positions see the three banks swaps places compared to last year – though there is little to choose between the top three. BNP Paribas edged up to second spot with 70 deals worth €19.165bn. RBS, number two in H1 2008 with 33 deals and €7.955bn of business, slipped down to fourth place this year with 58 deals worth €17.015bn. SG CIB takes the number three spot this year with 65 deals worth €19.01bn. It is snapping at the heels of Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas and up a place from 2008 when the bank boasted 23 deals worth €6.116bn. SG CIB was actually top of the league table for much of Q2 2008, but got pipped at the post in the couple of weeks.
Other league table highlights this year include the impressive market share that Calyon took from its peers in the first half of the year. The bank has climbed to number five in the league table with 44 deals under its belt, to the tune of €12.826bn, having not even been in the top 10 in H1 2008. Citigroup is also worth a mention: it bounced back from a year in the wilderness to resume its place the top 10, coming in at number nine with 35 deals worth 9.546bn.
These two joined the top 10 at the expense of UBS and Goldman Sachs that dropped out, while JP Morgan, Barclays Capital, HSBC and BoA Merrill Lynch make up the top 10 in sixth, seventh, eighth and tenth place respectively.
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